Early displacements in 2011 were as a result
of the government’s efforts to stop the uprising. Displacements of almost
entire population (41,000) of Jisr Al-Shughur were occurred for the fear of possible
government response to armed groups’ attacks on security forces. Displacements
around Damascus and Homs were also in this character. Syrian government began
to use heavy artillery to stem the tide of uprising which resulted in destruction
of houses and more displacement. Aleppo, Homs and Damascus attracted lots of
IDPs during this period.
In time, different opposition armed groups
were mushroomed in the country. These groups are not only fighting against the
government forces but also against each other. Conflicts are turning into sectarian
violence in different areas. People began to be killed according to their religious
beliefs or their ethnicity. Great powers are after their interests in the area.
While the USA has been trying to weaken Russian influence in the region, Russia
does not want to lose its ally government. Russia has had good relations with
the Ba’ath regime for a long time. There has been longstanding arm trade
between the two countries. Russians also have access to the Tartus naval
facility on the Syrian coast although it is for temporary mooring and repair.
Russia has strong doubts about Chechen militants fighting with the opposition.
For all these reasons, Russia sees significant strategic importance in the
region and does not seem like it will let another western intervention. Although
the USA, on the other hand, has had a desire to topple the Syrian government, involvement
of the extreme groups into the conflicts against the regime make Americans
dubious about the decisions of the Syrian future. Moreover, Russian resistance
in the UN Security Council and the recent domestic economic and political scandals
are effective factors of the latest unstable reactions of the States.
In this environment, Syrian IDPs who are already
in need of food and shelter are also in serious threat of death. If the displacement
keeps this pace, we might witness one of the biggest human tragedies of all
times.

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